March 16, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 226 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Jan Blachowicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 97 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 191 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 238 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Jan Blachowicz dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 37 total strikes, 97 vs 37 significant strikes, 50.8% vs 33.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 214 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Jan Blachowicz landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 193 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -21 |
Jan Blachowicz demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this activity level, while Jimi Manuwa's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Jan Blachowicz extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimi Manuwa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.