September 14, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 310 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -54 |
Jan Blachowicz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nikita Krylov was submitted.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 279 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Jan Blachowicz slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 10 vs 4 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 18.2% accuracy. Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:53 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 325 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Jan Blachowicz dominated Nikita Krylov on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:53 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 644 |
| Activity ELO | 1 217 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Jan Blachowicz demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this activity level, while Nikita Krylov's 644-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -23 |
Jan Blachowicz extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikita Krylov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

