April 7, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Sam Hughes's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Hughes for the expected result. Had Jaqueline Amorim pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Sam Hughes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 107 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 949 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Sam Hughes dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 52 total strikes, 46 vs 12 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 23.1% accuracy. Sam Hughes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:42 | 7:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 21 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -82 | +82 |
Sam Hughes controlled Jaqueline Amorim on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:02 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +29 |
Sam Hughes demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sam Hughes capitalized on this activity level, while Jaqueline Amorim's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Sam Hughes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jaqueline Amorim is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jaqueline Amorim | Sam Hughes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.