August 20, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 20 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 222 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -39 |
Jared Cannonier overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kelvin Gastelum.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 482 | 1 389 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Jared Cannonier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 81 | 89 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 207 | 246 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 443 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jared Cannonier controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 89 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 2:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 150 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jared Cannonier did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kelvin Gastelum on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 201 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Kelvin Gastelum's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Jared Cannonier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kelvin Gastelum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.