June 16, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 330 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (16 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 146 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 588 | 1 390 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Jared Cannonier earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 241 | 153 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 411 | 301 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 257 | 154 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 516 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Jared Cannonier dominated the striking exchanges with 257 vs 154 total strikes, 241 vs 153 significant strikes. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:07 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 341 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -118 |
Jared Cannonier controlled Marvin Vettori on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 3:07 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 319 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Marvin Vettori's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 207 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Jared Cannonier extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marvin Vettori is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Marvin Vettori |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 133 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.