July 6, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 055 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jared Cannonier's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Cannonier for the expected result. Had Nick Roehrick pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 029 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:08 | 2:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 168 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -29 |
Jared Cannonier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 150 | 160 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Jared Cannonier dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 29 total strikes, 84 vs 28 significant strikes, 56.0% vs 17.5% accuracy. Jared Cannonier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Jared Cannonier controlled Nick Roehrick on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:34 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 146 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated solid activity levels with 146 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Roehrick's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Jared Cannonier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Roehrick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Nick Roehrick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 029 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.