Jared Cannonier vs Robert Whittaker

October 23, 2020

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1190
(-18)
Jared Cannonier
Winner: Robert Whittaker
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jared Cannonier-18
Robert Whittaker+21
1404
(+21)
Robert Whittaker

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -18Robert Whittaker: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Total UFC Fights1116
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 1631 363
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

Robert Whittaker's 5-fight experience advantage (16 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Jared Cannonier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -14Robert Whittaker: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0591 203
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -27Robert Whittaker: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4411 625
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -36Robert Whittaker: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Significant Strikes Landed5369
Significant Strikes Attempted89151
Total Strikes Landed5875
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 4071 622
ELO Change-36+36
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What Happened

Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 53 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 59.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -24Robert Whittaker: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:302:10
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO1 1231 401
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -11Robert Whittaker: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Days Since Last Fight39291
Activity ELO1 1741 394
ELO Change-11+27
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -6Robert Whittaker: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0991 421
ELO Change-6+7
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What Happened

Robert Whittaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Cannonier is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Cannonier: -14Robert Whittaker: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricJared CannonierRobert Whittaker
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0511 201
ELO Change-14+14
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.