October 23, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 163 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Robert Whittaker's 5-fight experience advantage (16 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Robert Whittaker for the expected result. Had Jared Cannonier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 441 | 1 625 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Robert Whittaker earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 89 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 407 | 1 622 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 53 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 59.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 2:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 123 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Robert Whittaker landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +27 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +7 |
Robert Whittaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Cannonier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

