December 16, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 302 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Jared Cannonier overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sean Strickland.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 125 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 563 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jared Cannonier receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 141 | 152 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 310 | 400 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 141 | 157 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 494 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Sean Strickland controlled the striking through superior volume (157 vs 141 total strikes), significant strike advantage (152 vs 141). However, since Sean Strickland lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jared Cannonier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jared Cannonier did not secure a significant ground advantage against Sean Strickland on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 293 | 1 341 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Jared Cannonier demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Cannonier capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Strickland's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 181 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Jared Cannonier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Strickland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.