January 2, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Shawn Jordan's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Shawn Jordan for the expected result. Had Jared Cannonier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 983 | 1 272 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +39 |
Shawn Jordan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 922 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Shawn Jordan controlled the striking exchanges with 38.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shawn Jordan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 968 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +33 |
Shawn Jordan demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Shawn Jordan capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +22 |
Shawn Jordan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Cannonier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Cannonier | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

