July 30, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 988 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:08 | 1:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 050 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -46 |
Jared Gooden earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 064 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -112 |
Jared Gooden controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 7 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jared Gooden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 006 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 371 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -22 |
Jared Gooden demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gooden capitalized on this activity level, while Niklas Stolze's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Jared Gooden started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Niklas Stolze is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Niklas Stolze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.