Jared Gooden vs Randy Brown

October 8, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

992
(-16)
Jared Gooden
Winner: Randy Brown
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jared Gooden-16
Randy Brown+17
1190
(+17)
Randy Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -18Randy Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Total UFC Fights412
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO9701 170
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Jared Gooden pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -16Randy Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9661 086
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -14Randy Brown: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0361 346
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -15Randy Brown: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Significant Strikes Landed81115
Significant Strikes Attempted156235
Total Strikes Landed87117
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0491 266
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 117 vs 87 total strikes, 115 vs 81 significant strikes. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -21Randy Brown: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:440:06
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9851 263
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown controlled Jared Gooden on the ground with 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -12Randy Brown: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Days Since Last Fight70168
Activity ELO9961 191
ELO Change-12+21
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gooden's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -15Randy Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9711 111
ELO Change-15+18
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gooden is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gooden: -16Randy Brown: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GoodenRandy Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9661 086
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.