December 1, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -38 |
Jared Gooden overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Wellington Turman.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 971 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -47 |
Jared Gooden earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wellington Turman was submitted.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 83 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 46 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 871 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Jared Gooden controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 37 significant strikes. Jared Gooden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 1:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 005 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -102 |
Jared Gooden dominated Wellington Turman on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:31 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -27 |
Jared Gooden demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gooden capitalized on this activity level, while Wellington Turman's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Jared Gooden started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wellington Turman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Gooden | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 971 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.