December 14, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 043 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +82 |
Joaquim Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 95 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 194 | 191 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 149 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Jared Gordon controlled the striking through superior volume (149 vs 121 total strikes), significant strike advantage (116 vs 95), superior accuracy (59.8% vs 49.7%). However, since Jared Gordon lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joaquim Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:25 | 0:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Joaquim Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jared Gordon on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:39 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 300 | 322 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Joaquim Silva demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Joaquim Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gordon's 300-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Joaquim Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

