Jared Gordon vs Mark Madsen

November 10, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1154
(+46)
Jared Gordon
Winner: Jared Gordon
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:42

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jared Gordon+46
Mark Madsen-39
1087
(-39)
Mark Madsen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +39Mark Madsen: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Total UFC Fights146
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 1411 153
ELO Change+39-39
💡

What Happened

Jared Gordon's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Gordon for the expected result. Had Mark Madsen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +22Mark Madsen: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0721 044
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +97Mark Madsen: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:424:42
Win Type ELO1 2361 121
ELO Change+97-45
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What Happened

Jared Gordon earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +83Mark Madsen: -83

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Significant Strikes Landed3635
Significant Strikes Attempted6657
Total Strikes Landed5446
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2281 049
ELO Change+83-83
💡

What Happened

Jared Gordon controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jared Gordon capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +55Mark Madsen: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:191:04
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 2301 138
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Jared Gordon landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +24Mark Madsen: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Days Since Last Fight204371
Activity ELO1 1531 079
ELO Change+24-19
💡

What Happened

Jared Gordon demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jared Gordon capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Madsen's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +24Mark Madsen: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1001 071
ELO Change+24-22
💡

What Happened

Jared Gordon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Madsen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Gordon: +22Mark Madsen: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJared GordonMark Madsen
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0711 044
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.