June 21, 2024
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 111 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +34 |
Nasrat Haqparast overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jared Gordon.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 227 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Nasrat Haqparast receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 141 | 146 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 299 | 316 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 170 | 156 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 209 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Jared Gordon controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (141 vs 146). However, since Jared Gordon lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nasrat Haqparast's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:49 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 162 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Nasrat Haqparast controlled Jared Gordon on the ground with 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 196 |
| Activity ELO | 1 133 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gordon's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Nasrat Haqparast extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gordon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Gordon | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.