November 13, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -34 |
Jared Rosholt overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stefan Struve.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 240 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Jared Rosholt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 137 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Stefan Struve controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (33 vs 16), superior accuracy (56.9% vs 43.2%). However, since Stefan Struve lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jared Rosholt's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:43 | 0:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 248 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jared Rosholt controlled Stefan Struve on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 6:43 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 229 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -25 |
Jared Rosholt demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Rosholt capitalized on this activity level, while Stefan Struve's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -22 |
Jared Rosholt extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stefan Struve is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jared Rosholt | Stefan Struve |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.