Jared Rosholt vs Timothy Johnson

August 7, 2015

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1128
(+24)
Jared Rosholt
Winner: Jared Rosholt
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jared Rosholt+24
Timothy Johnson-22
1020
(-22)
Timothy Johnson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +26Timothy Johnson: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 103995
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Jared Rosholt's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Rosholt for the expected result. Had Timothy Johnson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +19Timothy Johnson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0751 002
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +35Timothy Johnson: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1841 055
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Jared Rosholt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +20Timothy Johnson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Significant Strikes Landed1926
Significant Strikes Attempted3457
Total Strikes Landed5386
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1191 060
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Timothy Johnson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (86 vs 53 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (26 vs 19), superior accuracy (45.6% vs 55.9%). However, since Timothy Johnson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jared Rosholt's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +24Timothy Johnson: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Takedowns Landed23
Takedowns Attempted54
Ground Control Time2:258:44
Ground Strikes Landed82
Ground ELO1 2101 036
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Jared Rosholt edged out Timothy Johnson on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:25 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +28Timothy Johnson: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Days Since Last Fight147126
Activity ELO1 1671 007
ELO Change+28-14
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What Happened

Jared Rosholt demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Rosholt capitalized on this activity level, while Timothy Johnson's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +22Timothy Johnson: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0921 005
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Jared Rosholt extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Timothy Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Rosholt: +19Timothy Johnson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJared RosholtTimothy Johnson
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0751 002
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.