Jared Vanderaa vs Serghei Spivac

February 19, 2021

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

963
(-37)
Jared Vanderaa
Winner: Serghei Spivac
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:32

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jared Vanderaa-37
Serghei Spivac+43
1077
(+43)
Serghei Spivac

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -29Serghei Spivac: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9711 060
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Serghei Spivac's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Serghei Spivac for the expected result. Had Jared Vanderaa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -21Serghei Spivac: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 024
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -35Serghei Spivac: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:324:32
Win Type ELO9651 130
ELO Change-35+72
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What Happened

Serghei Spivac gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -96Serghei Spivac: +96

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Significant Strikes Landed1351
Significant Strikes Attempted2472
Total Strikes Landed27107
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9041 072
ELO Change-96+96
💡

What Happened

Serghei Spivac dominated the striking exchanges with 107 vs 27 total strikes, 51 vs 13 significant strikes, 70.8% vs 54.2% accuracy. Serghei Spivac capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -56Serghei Spivac: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:008:29
Ground Strikes Landed044
Ground ELO9441 191
ELO Change-56+56
💡

What Happened

Serghei Spivac dominated Jared Vanderaa on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:29 of control time, 44 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -18Serghei Spivac: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Days Since Last FightN/A218
Activity ELO9821 076
ELO Change-18+22
💡

What Happened

Serghei Spivac demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Serghei Spivac capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Vanderaa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -20Serghei Spivac: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9801 035
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Serghei Spivac extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Vanderaa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jared Vanderaa: -21Serghei Spivac: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJared VanderaaSerghei Spivac
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 024
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.