October 28, 2022
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Jared Vanderaa's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jared Vanderaa for the expected result. Had Waldo Cortes Acosta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 931 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Jared Vanderaa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 797 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Waldo Cortes Acosta controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (73 vs 56). However, since Waldo Cortes Acosta lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jared Vanderaa's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 883 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +1 | -1 |
Jared Vanderaa demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jared Vanderaa capitalized on this activity level, while Waldo Cortes Acosta's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 938 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Both fighters entered without active win streaks, creating neutral momentum conditions. Jared Vanderaa broke his rough patch while Waldo Cortes Acosta extended his struggles.
| Metric | Jared Vanderaa | Waldo Cortes Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 930 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

