April 9, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:02 | 3:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -44 |
Jarjis Danho earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:02, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -125 |
Jarjis Danho controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 18.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jarjis Danho capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Jarjis Danho landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 680 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 001 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Jarjis Danho demonstrated extended layoff with 1680 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jarjis Danho capitalized on this activity level, while Yorgan De Castro's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jarjis Danho started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yorgan De Castro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jarjis Danho | Yorgan De Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.