Jarno Errens vs Steven Nguyen

March 22, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

964
(+39)
Jarno Errens
Winner: Jarno Errens
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jarno Errens+39
Steven Nguyen-38
962
(-38)
Steven Nguyen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +36Steven Nguyen: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO981964
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Jarno Errens's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jarno Errens for the expected result. Had Steven Nguyen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +24Steven Nguyen: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO981976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +51Steven Nguyen: -51

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO976949
ELO Change+51-51
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What Happened

Jarno Errens earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +92Steven Nguyen: -92

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Significant Strikes Landed10563
Significant Strikes Attempted207226
Total Strikes Landed10663
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO952908
ELO Change+92-92
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What Happened

Jarno Errens controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 63 total strikes, 105 vs 63 significant strikes, 50.7% vs 27.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jarno Errens capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +30Steven Nguyen: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:120:23
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO865970
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Jarno Errens did not secure a significant ground advantage against Steven Nguyen on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +29Steven Nguyen: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Days Since Last Fight211N/A
Activity ELO989977
ELO Change+29-23
💡

What Happened

Jarno Errens demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jarno Errens capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Nguyen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +26Steven Nguyen: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO984976
ELO Change+26-24
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What Happened

Jarno Errens started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Nguyen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: +24Steven Nguyen: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensSteven Nguyen
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO981976
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.