March 22, 2024
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jarno Errens's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jarno Errens for the expected result. Had Steven Nguyen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 976 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Jarno Errens earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 105 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 207 | 226 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Jarno Errens controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 63 total strikes, 105 vs 63 significant strikes, 50.7% vs 27.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jarno Errens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 865 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Jarno Errens did not secure a significant ground advantage against Steven Nguyen on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Jarno Errens demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jarno Errens capitalized on this activity level, while Steven Nguyen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Jarno Errens started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steven Nguyen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jarno Errens | Steven Nguyen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

