Jarno Errens vs Youssef Zalal

August 9, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

943
(-21)
Jarno Errens
Winner: Youssef Zalal
Submission
Round 1 • 3:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jarno Errens-21
Youssef Zalal+25
1088
(+25)
Youssef Zalal

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -30Youssef Zalal: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Total UFC Fights49
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO9511 025
ELO Change-30+30
💡

What Happened

Youssef Zalal's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Youssef Zalal for the expected result. Had Jarno Errens pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -19Youssef Zalal: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9621 033
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -27Youssef Zalal: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:523:52
Win Type ELO9491 150
ELO Change-27+45
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What Happened

Youssef Zalal earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -21Youssef Zalal: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Significant Strikes Landed610
Significant Strikes Attempted2612
Total Strikes Landed710
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9311 106
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Youssef Zalal slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 83.3% vs 23.1% accuracy. Youssef Zalal capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -17Youssef Zalal: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:001:08
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO8481 196
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Youssef Zalal controlled Jarno Errens on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -15Youssef Zalal: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Days Since Last Fight140140
Activity ELO9741 115
ELO Change-15+31
💡

What Happened

Youssef Zalal demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Youssef Zalal capitalized on this activity level, while Jarno Errens's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -18Youssef Zalal: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9661 048
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Youssef Zalal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jarno Errens is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jarno Errens: -19Youssef Zalal: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9621 033
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.