November 18, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:17 | 1:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 277 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +74 |
Ryan Bader earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 896 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Ryan Bader controlled the striking exchanges with 6 vs 1 significant strikes, 42.9% vs 7.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ryan Bader capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 011 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +29 |
Ryan Bader demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Bader capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Brilz's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 993 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Ryan Bader started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Brilz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Brilz | Ryan Bader |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

