June 6, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Michael Bisping's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Jason Day pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +56 |
Michael Bisping earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 080 | 1 337 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Michael Bisping controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 8 total strikes, 25 vs 7 significant strikes. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 2:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Michael Bisping controlled Jason Day on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:22 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 014 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +73 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Day's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Michael Bisping extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Day is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Day | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.