March 4, 1999
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Pete Williams's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pete Williams for the expected result. Had Jason Godsey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 970 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +57 |
Pete Williams earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Pete Williams slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.9% vs 28.6% accuracy. Pete Williams capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 870 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -130 | +130 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Pete Williams demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pete Williams capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Godsey's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Pete Williams started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Godsey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Godsey | Pete Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

