January 27, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:54 | 3:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -41 |
Jason Gonzalez earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 935 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Jason Gonzalez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Jason Gonzalez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 997 | 881 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jason Gonzalez edged out JC Cottrell on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Jason Gonzalez demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jason Gonzalez capitalized on this activity level, while JC Cottrell's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 001 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jason Gonzalez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JC Cottrell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Gonzalez | JC Cottrell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.