Jason Gonzalez vs Jim Miller

April 26, 2019

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

951
(-18)
Jason Gonzalez
Winner: Jim Miller
Submission
Round 1 • 2:12

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jason Gonzalez-18
Jim Miller+21
1142
(+21)
Jim Miller

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -23Jim Miller: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Total UFC Fights432
Experience Gap-2828
Experience ELO9611 100
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller's 28-fight experience advantage (32 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jim Miller for the expected result. Had Jason Gonzalez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -17Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9641 067
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -18Jim Miller: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:122:12
Win Type ELO9851 256
ELO Change-18+32
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -11Jim Miller: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Significant Strikes Landed106
Significant Strikes Attempted2511
Total Strikes Landed108
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8941 100
ELO Change-11+11
💡

What Happened

Jason Gonzalez controlled the striking through superior accuracy (40.0% vs 54.5%). However, since Jason Gonzalez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jim Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -39Jim Miller: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:000:52
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO8731 117
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller controlled Jason Gonzalez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:52 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -6Jim Miller: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Days Since Last Fight588133
Activity ELO9961 310
ELO Change-6+13
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jim Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Gonzalez's 588-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -14Jim Miller: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9691 121
ELO Change-14+15
💡

What Happened

Jim Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Gonzalez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Gonzalez: -17Jim Miller: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricJason GonzalezJim Miller
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9641 062
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.