June 6, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 006 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Rafael Dos Anjos's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Jason High pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 990 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:36 | 3:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 061 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +30 |
Rafael Dos Anjos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 26 total strikes, 36 vs 24 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 37.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 1:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Rafael Dos Anjos landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 49 |
| Activity ELO | 1 088 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +47 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Jason High's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +14 |
Rafael Dos Anjos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason High is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason High | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 990 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

