Jason High vs Rafael Dos Anjos

June 6, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1020
(-18)
Jason High
Winner: Rafael Dos Anjos
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jason High-18
Rafael Dos Anjos+25
1242
(+25)
Rafael Dos Anjos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -19Rafael Dos Anjos: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Total UFC Fights515
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 0061 193
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafael Dos Anjos for the expected result. Had Jason High pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -16Rafael Dos Anjos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9901 114
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -14Rafael Dos Anjos: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:363:36
Win Type ELO1 0611 378
ELO Change-14+30
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -38Rafael Dos Anjos: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Significant Strikes Landed2436
Significant Strikes Attempted6468
Total Strikes Landed2653
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9931 318
ELO Change-38+38
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 26 total strikes, 36 vs 24 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 37.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -16Rafael Dos Anjos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Takedowns Landed32
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time2:541:52
Ground Strikes Landed29
Ground ELO1 0321 288
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -9Rafael Dos Anjos: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Days Since Last Fight20349
Activity ELO1 0881 358
ELO Change-9+47
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Jason High's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -13Rafael Dos Anjos: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0001 169
ELO Change-13+14
💡

What Happened

Rafael Dos Anjos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason High is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jason High: -16Rafael Dos Anjos: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricJason HighRafael Dos Anjos
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9901 114
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.