July 28, 2017
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Ricardo Lamas's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricardo Lamas for the expected result. Had Jason Knight pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:34 | 4:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +60 |
Ricardo Lamas earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Ricardo Lamas controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 18 total strikes, 42 vs 8 significant strikes, 67.7% vs 22.9% accuracy. Ricardo Lamas capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 210 | 1 398 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Ricardo Lamas controlled Jason Knight on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:57 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 266 |
| Activity ELO | 1 174 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Ricardo Lamas demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ricardo Lamas capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Knight's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Ricardo Lamas extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Knight is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Knight | Ricardo Lamas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.