September 5, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 993 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:20 | 1:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +58 |
Jason MacDonald earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:20, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jason Lambert was submitted.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 849 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Jason MacDonald dominated the striking exchanges with 59 vs 2 total strikes, 10 vs 1 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 20.0% accuracy. Jason MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 894 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -188 | +188 |
Jason MacDonald dominated Jason Lambert on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:56 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +144 |
Jason MacDonald demonstrated exceptional activity with 28 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Jason MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Lambert's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jason MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Lambert is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Lambert | Jason MacDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.