Jason Lambert vs Rob MacDonald

March 3, 2006

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1049
(+49)
Jason Lambert
Winner: Jason Lambert
Submission
Round 1 • 1:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jason Lambert+49
Rob MacDonald-44
956
(-44)
Rob MacDonald

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +21Rob MacDonald: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +21Rob MacDonald: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +80Rob MacDonald: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:541:54
Win Type ELO1 080958
ELO Change+80-42
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What Happened

Jason Lambert earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +84Rob MacDonald: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Significant Strikes Landed73
Significant Strikes Attempted169
Total Strikes Landed133
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 084916
ELO Change+84-84
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What Happened

Jason Lambert controlled the striking exchanges with 43.8% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jason Lambert capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +120Rob MacDonald: -120

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:000:20
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 120880
ELO Change+120-120
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What Happened

Jason Lambert dominated Rob MacDonald on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +21Rob MacDonald: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Jason Lambert demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jason Lambert capitalized on this activity level, while Rob MacDonald's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +23Rob MacDonald: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Jason Lambert started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jason Lambert: +21Rob MacDonald: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJason LambertRob MacDonald
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.