April 18, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -13 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:54 | 0:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 211 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -17 |
Jason MacDonald gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 791 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Jason MacDonald edged the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 76.5% vs 66.7% accuracy. Jason MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:31 | 3:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 135 | 876 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Jason MacDonald edged out Joe Doerksen on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:31 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 148 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -11 |
Jason MacDonald demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jason MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Joe Doerksen's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Jason MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joe Doerksen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Joe Doerksen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.