May 7, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 993 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +58 |
John Salter overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason MacDonald.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +140 |
John Salter earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 887 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jason MacDonald controlled the striking through superior accuracy (71.4% vs 42.9%). However, since Jason MacDonald lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Salter's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
John Salter slightly outworked Jason MacDonald on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:12 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 385 | 117 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +83 |
John Salter demonstrated solid activity levels with 117 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Salter capitalized on this activity level, while Jason MacDonald's 385-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
John Salter started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | John Salter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.