April 17, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +32 |
Nate Quarry overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason MacDonald.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +78 |
Nate Quarry earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 941 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Nate Quarry controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 3 total strikes, 16 vs 1 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 100.0% accuracy. Nate Quarry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 1:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 067 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Nate Quarry controlled Jason MacDonald on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:47 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 214 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +44 |
Nate Quarry demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Quarry capitalized on this activity level, while Jason MacDonald's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Nate Quarry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Nate Quarry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.