June 15, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:18 | 3:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 213 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -34 |
Jason MacDonald gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Jason MacDonald dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 29 total strikes, 30 vs 17 significant strikes. Jason MacDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:19 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 158 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Jason MacDonald controlled Rory Singer on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:19 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 151 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Jason MacDonald demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jason MacDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Rory Singer's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 063 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Jason MacDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rory Singer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Rory Singer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.