Jason MacDonald vs Tom Lawlor

May 14, 2012

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

981
(-33)
Jason MacDonald
Winner: Tom Lawlor
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jason MacDonald-33
Tom Lawlor+47
1083
(+47)
Tom Lawlor

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -29Tom Lawlor: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Total UFC Fights147
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO9581 061
ELO Change-29+42
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason MacDonald.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -20Tom Lawlor: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9661 017
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -45Tom Lawlor: +119

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:500:50
Win Type ELO1 0721 212
ELO Change-45+119
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:50 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -56Tom Lawlor: +56

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Significant Strikes Landed15
Significant Strikes Attempted811
Total Strikes Landed15
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO7991 131
ELO Change-56+56
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor controlled the striking exchanges with 45.5% vs 12.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Lawlor capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -45Tom Lawlor: +45

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:020:01
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9681 108
ELO Change-45+45
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -29Tom Lawlor: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Days Since Last Fight241178
Activity ELO1 1431 086
ELO Change-29+51
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor demonstrated solid activity levels with 178 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tom Lawlor capitalized on this activity level, while Jason MacDonald's 241-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -21Tom Lawlor: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9811 030
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Tom Lawlor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jason MacDonald: -20Tom Lawlor: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJason MacDonaldTom Lawlor
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9631 017
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.