October 19, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 078 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 175 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Yushin Okami earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Yushin Okami controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 25 significant strikes. Yushin Okami capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:13 | 8:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 19 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Yushin Okami controlled Jason MacDonald on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:52 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 134 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Yushin Okami demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yushin Okami capitalized on this activity level, while Jason MacDonald's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Yushin Okami started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason MacDonald is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason MacDonald | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 028 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.