December 2, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Michael Bisping's 13-fight experience advantage (15 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael Bisping for the expected result. Had Jason Miller pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 969 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:34 | 3:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 399 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +14 |
Michael Bisping gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 102 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 150 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 961 | 1 437 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Michael Bisping dominated the striking exchanges with 150 vs 38 total strikes, 102 vs 27 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 22.7% accuracy. Michael Bisping capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:29 | 3:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 26 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Michael Bisping edged out Jason Miller on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:12 of control time, 26 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 423 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 976 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Miller's 2423-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 970 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +15 |
Michael Bisping extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Miller | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 968 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.