June 13, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 090 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -42 |
Jason Saggo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Jason Saggo edged the striking exchanges with 41.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Jason Saggo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:41 | 0:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Jason Saggo controlled Josh Shockley on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:41 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jason Saggo demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jason Saggo capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Shockley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jason Saggo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Shockley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Josh Shockley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.