March 4, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 998 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -36 |
Jason Saggo overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Justin Salas.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:31 | 4:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -37 |
Jason Saggo earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 122 | 833 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Jason Saggo controlled the striking exchanges with 31 vs 2 total strikes, 20 vs 1 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 33.3% accuracy. Jason Saggo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 0:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Jason Saggo controlled Justin Salas on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:21 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 519 | 599 |
| Activity ELO | 1 018 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -22 |
Jason Saggo demonstrated extended layoff with 519 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jason Saggo capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Salas's 599-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jason Saggo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Salas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Justin Salas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.