June 17, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -37 |
Jason Saggo overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Leandro Silva.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jason Saggo receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Jason Saggo slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 36.4% vs 47.5% accuracy. Jason Saggo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 1:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jason Saggo edged out Leandro Silva on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:21 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 092 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -29 |
Jason Saggo demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jason Saggo capitalized on this activity level, while Leandro Silva's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Jason Saggo extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leandro Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Saggo | Leandro Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.