April 5, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 019 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Luke Cummo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 978 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Luke Cummo dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 29 total strikes, 43 vs 17 significant strikes, 39.8% vs 29.8% accuracy. Luke Cummo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:07 | 4:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 953 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Luke Cummo controlled Jason Von Flue on the ground with 3 vs 2 takedowns, 4:05 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 80 | 152 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +41 |
Luke Cummo demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Luke Cummo capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Von Flue's 80-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Luke Cummo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Von Flue is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Von Flue | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.