August 12, 2022
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 932 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Josh Quinlan overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason Witt.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +90 |
Josh Quinlan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 825 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Josh Quinlan controlled the striking exchanges with 25.0% vs 8.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Quinlan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 081 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Josh Quinlan demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Josh Quinlan capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Witt's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 969 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Josh Quinlan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Witt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Josh Quinlan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.