February 4, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +40 |
Phil Rowe overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jason Witt.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 984 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +79 |
Phil Rowe gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 900 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Phil Rowe controlled the striking exchanges with 47.1% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Phil Rowe capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:11 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 108 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Phil Rowe landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Phil Rowe demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Phil Rowe capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Witt's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Phil Rowe extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Witt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Witt | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.