November 4, 2011
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 929 | 906 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Michihiro Omigawa's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michihiro Omigawa for the expected result. Had Jason Young pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 956 | 948 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 911 | 931 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Michihiro Omigawa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 928 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Michihiro Omigawa edged the striking exchanges with 25 vs 32 significant strikes, 42.4% vs 27.8% accuracy. Michihiro Omigawa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 8:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 816 | 936 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Michihiro Omigawa dominated Jason Young on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 8:08 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 956 | 974 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
Michihiro Omigawa demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michihiro Omigawa capitalized on this activity level, while Jason Young's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 956 | 952 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Michihiro Omigawa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jason Young is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jason Young | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 956 | 948 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.