February 22, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Ricky Simon's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricky Simon for the expected result. Had Javid Basharat pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:58 | 3:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +64 |
Ricky Simon earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Javid Basharat controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (20 vs 11). However, since Javid Basharat lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ricky Simon's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 1:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Ricky Simon landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 358 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Ricky Simon demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ricky Simon capitalized on this activity level, while Javid Basharat's 358-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 035 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Ricky Simon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Javid Basharat is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Javid Basharat | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.