February 1, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 853 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Tyron Woodley overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jay Hieron.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 928 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:36 | 0:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 896 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +89 |
Tyron Woodley secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:36 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 750 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Tyron Woodley controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 0 significant strikes, 68.2% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tyron Woodley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 895 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Tyron Woodley landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 121 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 934 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Tyron Woodley demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tyron Woodley capitalized on this activity level, while Jay Hieron's 121-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 933 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Tyron Woodley started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jay Hieron is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jay Hieron | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 928 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.