February 22, 2025
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -16 | 16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 083 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Rob Font's 16-fight experience advantage (19 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rob Font for the expected result. Had Jean Matsumoto pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 103 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +3 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rob Font receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 77 | 95 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 171 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 113 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 339 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Rob Font controlled the striking exchanges with 95 vs 77 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 42.5% accuracy. Rob Font capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:15 | 1:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 086 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Rob Font did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jean Matsumoto on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:18 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +24 |
Rob Font demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rob Font capitalized on this activity level, while Jean Matsumoto's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Rob Font extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jean Matsumoto is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jean Matsumoto | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.