April 1, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 942 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 929 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +60 |
Manvel Gamburyan earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:41, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 903 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Manvel Gamburyan slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 75.0% vs 50.0% accuracy. Manvel Gamburyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 916 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Manvel Gamburyan controlled Jeff Cox on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 295 | 95 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +48 |
Manvel Gamburyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 95 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Manvel Gamburyan capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Cox's 295-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Manvel Gamburyan extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Cox is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeff Cox | Manvel Gamburyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.