September 25, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Juan Espino overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jeff Hughes.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 942 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:48 | 3:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +46 |
Juan Espino earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 852 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Juan Espino edged the striking exchanges with 21 vs 0 total strikes, 10 vs 0 significant strikes, 58.8% vs 0.0% accuracy. Juan Espino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 867 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Juan Espino dominated Jeff Hughes on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 2:36 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 666 |
| Activity ELO | 942 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +16 |
Juan Espino demonstrated extended layoff with 666 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Juan Espino capitalized on this activity level, while Jeff Hughes's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 942 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
Juan Espino extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jeff Hughes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jeff Hughes | Juan Espino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 942 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.